Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.951500 3.528543 4.173483 4.945522 5.842245 6.848553 8.060836
2025-11-09 2.034031 2.741816 3.617621 4.772108 6.243881 8.046421 10.408757
2025-11-16 1.548019 2.306927 3.328207 4.783434 6.780280 9.397316 13.054198
2025-11-23 1.225199 1.993269 3.104623 4.796389 7.264834 10.684996 15.718756
2025-11-30 0.980802 1.728651 2.883956 4.749051 7.620764 11.795577 18.218526
2025-12-07 0.761469 1.450355 2.583548 4.517485 7.648443 12.406333 20.028465
2025-12-14 0.629285 1.286028 2.429071 4.478393 7.945303 13.419955 22.500300
2025-12-21 0.528547 1.154747 2.303987 4.460928 8.260267 14.473087 25.105742
2025-12-28 0.484109 1.120093 2.341211 4.723201 9.062763 16.367045 29.193658
2026-01-04 0.429530 1.053209 2.306254 4.846126 9.629620 17.911998 32.824817
2026-01-11 0.391105 1.012187 2.313340 5.044892 10.346706 19.763173 37.102066
2026-01-18 0.340084 0.932081 2.228217 5.050775 10.702863 21.007758 40.422395
2026-01-25 0.280025 0.818718 2.057730 4.867556 10.690112 21.612913 42.708714
2026-02-01 0.230773 0.720063 1.902128 4.692277 10.670948 22.201466 45.010612
2026-02-08 0.201209 0.665504 1.837225 4.702101 11.022905 23.509253 48.724092
2026-02-15 0.176082 0.616844 1.777669 4.714446 11.378530 24.848303 52.587962
2026-02-22 0.151705 0.563895 1.697873 4.667702 11.599980 25.936681 56.043583
2026-03-01 0.123404 0.490617 1.551651 4.439644 11.394825 26.145531 57.789490
2026-03-08 0.106803 0.450391 1.486351 4.401141 11.610542 27.230295 61.347079
2026-03-15 0.093250 0.416587 1.432603 4.383941 11.872100 28.428216 65.211126
2026-03-22 0.089610 0.417825 1.481004 4.642191 12.812615 31.144087 72.373942
2026-03-29 0.082286 0.403040 1.478798 4.763239 13.431642 33.204021 78.290656
2026-04-05 0.077495 0.396950 1.502489 4.958981 14.253233 35.766168 85.422836